Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.147786 0.174824 0.205028 0.241215 0.283337 0.330763 0.388153
2024-12-22 0.102852 0.136742 0.178822 0.234680 0.306623 0.395887 0.514730
2024-12-29 0.080920 0.117985 0.167985 0.239847 0.339869 0.473443 0.664485
2025-01-05 0.064449 0.101634 0.155435 0.238080 0.360750 0.534769 0.798618
2025-01-12 0.051767 0.087536 0.142595 0.232264 0.373026 0.583413 0.918801
2025-01-19 0.042069 0.075828 0.130807 0.225205 0.381028 0.625024 1.031658
2025-01-26 0.036775 0.070182 0.127390 0.230314 0.407892 0.697494 1.199145
2025-02-02 0.032188 0.064820 0.123393 0.233466 0.431313 0.766293 1.367476
2025-02-09 0.028095 0.059557 0.118611 0.234254 0.450272 0.829067 1.531700
2025-02-16 0.024994 0.055608 0.115535 0.237491 0.473601 0.901278 1.719090
2025-02-23 0.022991 0.053503 0.115594 0.246517 0.508440 0.997133 1.957846
2025-03-02 0.019647 0.047930 0.107872 0.239018 0.510468 1.032662 2.088891
2025-03-09 0.017494 0.044670 0.104567 0.240342 0.530647 1.105587 2.300316
2025-03-16 0.015251 0.040787 0.099337 0.236867 0.540640 1.159934 2.481787
2025-03-23 0.013980 0.039004 0.098484 0.242789 0.571026 1.257880 2.759639
2025-03-30 0.012387 0.036095 0.094563 0.241162 0.584704 1.322793 2.976192
2025-04-06 0.010774 0.032804 0.089188 0.235310 0.588083 1.366161 3.151592
2025-04-13 0.009322 0.029651 0.083634 0.228172 0.587489 1.400649 3.310983
2025-04-20 0.008625 0.028514 0.083064 0.233347 0.616608 1.503556 3.630136
2025-04-27 0.007915 0.027194 0.081795 0.236537 0.641245 1.598658 3.940581
2025-05-04 0.007189 0.025672 0.079734 0.237336 0.659985 1.681887 4.231520
2025-05-11 0.006627 0.024559 0.078646 0.240613 0.685419 1.783305 4.574134
2025-05-18 0.006305 0.024173 0.079611 0.249750 0.727230 1.928054 5.032658